Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has tallied 22.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.6 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
Harrison Barnes has attempted 8.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Harrison Barnes has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.1 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The Kings are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from facing the quickest tempo home team in the league this year (the Pacers).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 2.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
Over the last 25 games when they are away from home, opposing clubs have brought down 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (preserving possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).
As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at drawing fouls recently: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games, totaling a measly 20.4 foul shots per game.
Harrison Barnes will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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