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Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Harrison Barnes has totaled 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 higher than he's totaled over the course of the year.Harrison Barnes has converted 3.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.Harrison Barnes has tallied 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.4 more than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 12.2 field goal attempts per game (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, marking this as a positive matchup.The Kings rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have shot 44.2% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Heat, identifying this as a favorable matchup.The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Kings.As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been poor at getting to the foul line in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, totaling a measly 18.2 foul shot attempts per game.Harrison Barnes will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player performance for all stats.
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