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Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Harrison Barnes has sunk 48.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% more than he's made overall this season on his home court.

Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 30.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

Harrison Barnes has committed 1.2 personal fouls per game while at home this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).

The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 free throws per game (10th-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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