Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 3:13 AM EST

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
Among all players in the league, Harrison Barnes places in the 22nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a lowly 1.2 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a favorable one; when the Nets have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (19.7).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

The Kings have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 11.6 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (retaining possessions that can create extra chances for offense).
Harrison Barnes has successfully made a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.2 mark last year.

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