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Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Harrison Barnes has sunk a whopping 2.5 3-pointers per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.5 mark last season.

Harrison Barnes has tallied 1.0 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (17th percentile).

The 9th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Kings.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 8 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 12.6 points per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive production.

The Pelicans have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against New Orleans is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 free throws per game this year when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court (6th-least in the league).

Harrison Barnes should see a decline in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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