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Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Harrison Barnes has converted a terrific 2.4 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 1.5 mark last year.

Harrison Barnes has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

The Kings will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 11thbest in in the league playing at home with 11.1 offensive boards per game over the last 7 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to three-pointers, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 35.2% rate of drained threes when playing at home settles in as the 10th-fewest in the league this year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 10.1 field goal attempts per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, branding this as a challenging matchup.

At home, the Pelicans have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (14.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Harrison Barnes stands to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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