Hamidou Diallo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2023

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Hamidou Diallo

G · Detroit Pistons

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 4, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Hamidou Diallo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Detroit Pistons have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Hamidou Diallo has attempted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 19.4 free throws per game when the Cavaliers are playing at home this year (least in the league).

Favors Under

Hamidou Diallo has converted 21.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
Hamidou Diallo has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Detroit Pistons check in as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Pistons.
Hamidou Diallo will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.