Grayson Allen Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 5:47 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-144/+118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Grayson Allen will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production across the board.