Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat · Jan 25, 2026

Updated Jan 25, 2026 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a good matchup.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from squaring off against the fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The Suns check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to offense, the Phoenix Suns's poor 112.1 points per game with the home court advantage rates 5th-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.