Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has converted 4.5 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Grayson Allen has been on the court for 32.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Spurs have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games away from their home court with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
This year, opposing starting SFs have shot 36.0% on field goals (weakest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs, labeling this as a hard matchup.
Grayson Allen will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all stat categories.

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