Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 2:37 AM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has averaged 21.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Grayson Allen has sunk 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's made from three in all games this season.
Grayson Allen has tallied 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Suns check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 55.3% on shot attempts from the field (highest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has committed 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (76th percentile).
The Hawks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 8thworst in in the NBA at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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