Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has made 58.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.5% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home.
Grayson Allen has successfully made 59.9% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 10.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen ranks in the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 32.7 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs over the last 5 games (19.8).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the road team over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Bucks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns.
Grayson Allen will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen stat production for all stats.

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