Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 25, 2024

Updated Feb 25, 2024 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has made 3.5 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.
Out of all players in the league, Grayson Allen rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.0 minutes per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup against the Lakers is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Lakers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Lakers may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games (11th-least in the NBA).

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