Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 4:52 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has made 40.5% of his shots from downtown away from home since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
The 10th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Suns.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the visting team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
On the road, the 76ers have given up the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Grayson Allen has successfully made 89.7% of his free throws without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a hard one; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs since the start of last season (10.5).
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from competing against the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the 76ers).
As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Phoenix Suns's poor 20.9 foul shots per game as the home team places 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the Philadelphia 76ers is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game since the start of last season (15th-least in the league).