Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has converted 39.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a strong one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have posted the 23rd-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.2%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grayson Allen has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court.

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season at home.
The matchup against Tyrese Maxey is a tough one for shots from downtown; when Maxey is on the road and matched up against fellow starting SGs this year, they have sunk a mere 32.1% of their 3-point attempts (17th percentile).
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, averaging a measly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.