Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 5:47 PM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has sunk 2.1 3-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league while at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Suns may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a monstrous 5.9 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (27th-most in the NBA).
Grayson Allen will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for field goals; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 6th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (5.2).
The Suns have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing on the road, the Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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