Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has converted 53.9% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 10.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while playing away from home.
Grayson Allen has attempted 6.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
This matchup is a good one for attempts from downtown; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them this year (31.0).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league while on the road this year.
The matchup against Portland is a challenging one; when the Trail Blazers are at home, they have allowed the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (16.0).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).