Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2023

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has converted 51.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games at home, 5.8% more than he's made over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Grayson Allen has successfully made a terrific 91.6% of his foul shot attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 83.5 rate last season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Pelicans.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 26.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games while playing away from home (3rd-least in the NBA).
The matchup against the Pelicans is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing squads have totaled the 7th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (35.9).
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been bad at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the league over the last 10 games with just 18.6 foul shots per game.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 3rd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (30.9%).

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