Grayson Allen Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grayson Allen Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-148/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has attempted 4.4 threes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Pistons.
The matchup against the Pistons is a good one for attempts from beyond the arc; their opposition have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (29.6).

Favors Under

Grayson Allen has attempted and missed 2.8 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the league in this category: 75th percentile for misses .
Grayson Allen has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Pistons have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
Grayson Allen will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces stat production across the board.

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