Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Charlotte Hornets · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:39 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has averaged 4.0 defensive rebounds per game away from his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category.
Grant Williams figures to see a spike in performance for all stats on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams comes in at the 77th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.3 fouls per game at home since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can lead to more opportunities for offense).

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