Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 28, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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