Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 2:26 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has compiled 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.5 more than he's compiled overall this year at home.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while at home.
Away from home, the Raptors have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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