Grant Williams Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has averaged 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Celtics.
Grant Williams will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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