Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 1, 2024

Updated Mar 2, 2024 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has averaged 13.0 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have averaged 33.8% on threes (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, creating a hard matchup.
Grant Williams has converted 90.8% of his free throws over the last 15 games on the road, 18.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Hornets will likely experience a decrease in plays in this contest from competing against the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
The Hornets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have collected 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).

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