Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 5, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 6:52 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-127/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's terrific 119.6 points per game rates 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, opposing clubs have posted the lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.0%).
The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA as the road team this year.
Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Grant Williams comes in at the 21st percentile for field goal prowess with a an unimpressive 39.2% rate this year.
Grant Williams has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate additional opportunities for offense).