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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has sunk 2.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.

Grant Williams will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (95th percentile).

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's subpar 45.1% field goal percentage while at home rates 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled 15.1 points per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, designating this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

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