Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shooting, the Dallas Mavericks's superb 118.1 points per game comes in as the 8th-most in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 54.1% on shot attempts from the field (28th-best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, resulting in a good matchup.
The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
Grant Williams has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 33.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has successfully made 39.4% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
The Hawks have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.