Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 26, 2023 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-103/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 1.4 clip, Grant Williams's three-pointers hit have spiked this year to 2.1 per game.
This year, the other team has averaged 33.7 three attempts per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Mavericks have played at the 2nd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 37.9% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams places in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.
This year, opposing clubs have collected 11.6 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Suns (maintaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
As a team, the Mavericks have been lousy at drawing fouls away from their home court: 6th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a mere 21.0 foul shots per game.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 23.4 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Suns, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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