Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 25, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 1.4 clip, Grant Williams's three-pointers scored have surged this year to 2.6 per game.
In contrast to last year's 24.1 rate, Grant Williams's playing time has surged this year to 28.7 minutes per game.
The Mavericks check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the Mavericks.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams lands in the 79th percentile for technical fouls, compiling an enormous 0.1 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one for three-pointers; when the LA Clippers are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (22.4%).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have collected 11.8 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
Relative to last year's 75.6% rate, Grant Williams's foul-shot proficiency has decreased this year to 53.1%.

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