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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to scoring, the Dallas Mavericks's excellent 120.4 points per game measures as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 9.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise lead to further chances for offense).

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (26th-highest in the NBA) against the Magic, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grant Williams has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game away from his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup against Orlando is a difficult one for scoring; when the Orlando Magic are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest FG% in the NBA since the start of last season (44.1%).

The Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams has successfully made 60.4% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 7.9% less than he's put through the net over the course of the season when playing at home.

Grant Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance across the board.

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