Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 5/27/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · May 27, 2023

Updated May 28, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has successfully made 52.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 15.9% more than he's made in all games this season.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.1% higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (79th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 13th-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.9%).
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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