Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has converted 61.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Grant Williams has attempted 4.9 treys per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Boston Celtics have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home.
This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 6th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (37.0).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

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