Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 27, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has sunk 61.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 17.4% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Grant Williams has successfully made 36.8% of his shots from downtown this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the league.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
While playing at home, the Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
This matchup is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; when the Knicks are at home, the other team have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league against them this year (37.6).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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