Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 28, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year.
The Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Lakers.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; opposing teams have attempted an enormous 21.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games away from his home court (2nd-most in the league).
Grant Williams will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has successfully made 38.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, -8.5% less than he's converted in all games this year.
Grant Williams has shot and missed 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's failed to convert from 3-point range over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Grant Williams has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (14.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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