Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has successfully made 55.3% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 13.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while on his home court.
Grant Williams has attempted 5.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year away from their home city, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (which can also create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- [AMONG_THE_LEAGUES_MOST_FOUL_PRONE].
The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; the other team have tallied the 6th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (36.5).
The Boston Celtics rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.

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