Grant Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on their home court, the Timberwolves have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player production for all stats.

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