Grant Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 7:27 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league while playing at home with 10.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year when they are at home, their opposition has snagged 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra chances for offense).
Grant Williams will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (93rd percentile).
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from competing against the slowest tempo team in the league over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).

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