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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Assists
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Grant Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grant Williams has played an impressive 29.0 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 24.1 minutes per game last year.

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Mavericks rank 9thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

On the road, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Grant Williams figures to see a rise in production across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

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