Grant Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+122/-159).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, their opposition has collected 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus opportunities for offense).
Grant Williams figures to see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-slowest tempo road offense in the NBA this year (the Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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