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Gradey Dick

Gradey Dick Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Gradey Dick Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Gradey Dick has converted 48.5% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 12.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing on the road.

Gradey Dick has averaged 32.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 11.7 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.

The matchup against the Heat is a good one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Toronto Raptors.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Gradey Dick has committed 2.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season on the road.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.

Gradey Dick should see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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