Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+104/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo ranks in the 100th percentile, posting a monstrous 30.3 points per game this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 34.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 5.4 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Pelicans, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Bucks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-quickest tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a mere 16.7% of his treys this season, a sizeable decrease from his 28.5 mark last season.
The 6th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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