Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2024

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Nov 18, 2024

Updated Nov 19, 2024 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 11.5 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's shots made have jumped this season to 13.1 per game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 92nd percentile.
In regard to treys, the Milwaukee Bucks's stellar 38.9% rate of sunk threes at home rates 6th-strongest in the NBA this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a rise in plays today from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a measly 14.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, quite a bit less than his 28.5 mark last season.
Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a hard matchup.
The Bucks have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 3rdworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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