Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo measures in the 100th percentile for shots from the field made, compiling a whopping 11.5 per game this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 34.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
As it relates to offense, the Bucks's remarkable 126.7 points per game ranks strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the speediest pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Pacers).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted just 18.7% of his treys this season, quite a bit lower than his 28.3 mark last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 2.5 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have brought down 13.6 offensive boards per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (preserving possessions that can generate added chances for offense).
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.