Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo places in the 98th percentile, putting up a massive 28.1 points per game with the home court advantage this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 55.4% of his field goal attempts when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has played 31.1 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA as the away team since the start of last season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

This matchup is a positive one for 3-point attempts; their opposition has totaled the 10th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (35.8).
The matchup vs. Orlando is a challenging one for field goal attempts; when the Orlando Magic are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 10th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (10.5).
The Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 12.2 mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's number of foul shot attempts has been reduced this season to 10.3 foul shot attempts per game.
Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.