Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a hard one for scoring; opposing squads have shot for the 4th-lowest FG% in the league over the last 15 games when the Magic have the home court advantage (44.5%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Magic have the home court advantage, the other team have attempted a massive 22.8 foul shots per game this year (9th-most in the league).

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