Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bucks have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home since the start of last season when it comes to three-point attempts.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
Giannis Antetokounmpo figures to get a boost in output for all stats as a result of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 21st percentile for 3-point shots drained with the home court advantage, tallying 0.6 per game this year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (10th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, creating a hard matchup.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).