Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 7.5 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Giannis Antetokounmpo lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The Bucks have played at the speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Bucks will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Jazz).

Favors Under

Giannis Antetokounmpo has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's committed over the course of the year.
The Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Jazz have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Giannis Antetokounmpo should see a decline in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this game.