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Gary Trent Jr.

Gary Trent Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Gary Trent Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Indiana is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Pacers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the league this year (52.4%).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Toronto Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, opposing teams have brought down 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pacers (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce more chances for offense).

Gary Trent Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last season's 6.1 clip, Gary Trent Jr.'s field goals sunk have tailed off this season to 4.3 per game.

The Raptors check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The 8th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Raptors.

In contrast to last season's 2.6 mark, Gary Trent Jr.'s foul shots drained have declined this season to 0.6 per game.

The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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