Gary Trent Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Gary Trent Jr.

G-F · Toronto Raptors

Points

New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Gary Trent Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Gary Trent Jr. has successfully made 61.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing on the road.
Gary Trent Jr. has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least least-whistled players in the league (23rd percentile).
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one; when the New York Knicks are at home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (21.5).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 14.1 clip, Gary Trent Jr.'s shots taken have regressed this season to 10.1 per game.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Raptors's lackluster 11.9 successful threes per game rates 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
The matchup vs. New York may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the New York Knicks are playing at home (13th-least in the league).
Gary Trent Jr. is expected to experience a decrease in productivity for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.