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Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet Points
Player Prop - 4/30/2025

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Fred VanVleet Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Fred VanVleet has attempted 9.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Fred VanVleet ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.6 minutes per game while at home this year.

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have posted 24.4 points per game (highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, resulting in a good matchup for offensive production.

The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Fred VanVleet has made 88.9% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 9.9% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season when playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Fred VanVleet has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile).

The Rockets have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while playing at home this year.

The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Rockets.

The Houston Rockets are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 6th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Warriors).

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